Stars Hollow
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 69
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-07 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 18/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |