1

Twisted Humor
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 82
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 73% | -0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |