4
R Prada
2yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 54
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength27%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Turf Paradise | BHA57 | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |