Daniel's Magic
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 110
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-15 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2024 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 18/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 16/06/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 31/07/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 15/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |