4
Do It For Dave
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 81
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |