6

Fuego Del Sol

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 74

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 06/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 50 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 50 par6/03C6OR 50C6 @ Santa Anita 24/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Santa Anita 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 64 · 6f Fm 121 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 64 par9/05C8OR 64C6 @ Santa Anita 26/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 69 par20/06C8OR 69BHA70 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 70 · 1m1f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Del Mar 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 6f 120 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 72 par15/08C8OR 72C8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 69 par11/09C8OR 69projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Los Alamitos Racecourse?7th7th0
2026-08-15Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-06-28Los Alamitos RacecourseBHA705th4th+1
2026-06-20Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd3rd0
2026-05-26Santa Anita?9th7th+2
2026-05-09Santa Anita?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0326/0515/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20266th33/10%0%0.00
24/04/20267th50/10%0%0.00
09/05/20267th50/10%0%0.00
26/05/20269th50/10%0%0.00
20/06/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
28/06/20265th40/10%0%0.00
15/08/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
11/09/20267th40/10%14%+0.14