2
Joey Brackets
5yo Horse · 8-13 · OR 75
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Golden State Racing | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2024-01-28 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Fresno | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2023-09-17 | Golden Gate Fields | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2023 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/10/2023 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 28/01/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 08/12/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/06/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/08/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |