1
Rollinwithpolan
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 81
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 33% | -0.61 |