2
Geezer
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 98
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |