For You Bud

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 38

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength77%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +1.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-12	Los Alamitos Racecourse	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-08-23	Del Mar	?	11th	8th	+3	2.0
2026-07-05	Los Alamitos Racecourse	?	12th	9th	+3	1.0
2026-03-19	Turf Paradise	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength35%

Delivery trend +10.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
19/03/2026	4th	13/2	66%	40%	-0.26
05/07/2026	12th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26
23/08/2026	11th	50/1	0%	9%	+0.09
12/09/2026	8th	16/1	16%	13%	-0.03