4

Snapshot

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 75

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS5/04C6C6 @ Santa Anita 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 70 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 70 par13/06C6OR 70C9 @ Del Mar 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 79 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 79 par7/08C9OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Del Mar?6th6th0
2026-06-13Santa Anita?5th2nd+3
2026-04-05Santa Anita?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0413/067/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20265th14/126%50%+0.24
13/06/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
07/08/20266th14/126%50%+0.24