7
Bad Uncle Ernie
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 89
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +12.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |