Nineteenth Hole
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 31/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |