Tamarando Beach
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 88
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |