Tygra
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 96
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-01-21 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-12-11 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-08-20 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 31/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 09/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |