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5

Royal Salute

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 88

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 01/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 88 par1/02C8OR 88C8 @ Gulfstream 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m 123 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Gulfstream 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fas 126 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 86 par24/04C8OR 86C8 @ Mountaineer 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 90 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Mountaineer 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 84 par9/06C5OR 84C8 @ Mountaineer 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 83 · 1m Gd 124 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Mountaineer 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 83 par13/07C5OR 83C5 @ Mountaineer 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 85 · 7f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 85 parC7 @ Mountaineer 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 86 par1/09C7OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2026-07-26Mountaineer?1st-1th+2
2026-07-13Mountaineer?2nd0th+2
2026-07-08Mountaineer?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-09Mountaineer?1st-1th+2
2026-06-03Mountaineer?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/023/0613/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
13/03/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
24/04/20268th11/486%13%-0.73
03/06/20264th9/488%67%-0.21
09/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
08/07/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
13/07/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
26/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
01/09/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59