10
Shiva
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +8.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 25% | -0.67 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |