2

Some R Blessed
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |