2

Some R Blessed

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 17/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 93 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 93 par17/01C8OR 93C8 @ Turfway Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m 121 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Turfway Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 89 par28/03C8OR 89C8 @ Mountaineer 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 6f 120 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Mountaineer 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 89 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 89 par5/05C6OR 89C8 @ Mountaineer 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Mountaineer 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 1m Slo 120 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 91 par15/06C7OR 91C7 @ Mountaineer 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 87 · 1m 124 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Mountaineer 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 1m6f Gd 124 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 88 par9/08C7OR 88projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-07-05Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2026-06-15Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2026-06-07Mountaineer?3rd4th1
2026-05-05Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-04-27Mountaineer?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0127/0415/069/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03
01/03/20265th7/282%50%-0.32
28/03/20267th10/382%33%-0.49
27/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
05/05/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
07/06/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
15/06/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
05/07/20262nd4/696%75%-0.21
09/08/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26