3
Tap Em
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |