6
Tojo's Mojo
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-07-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2024 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/08/2024 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 30/03/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 25/04/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 14/06/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |