2
Dream Life
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 55
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |