3

Good Enough For Me
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 63
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |