5
Impetus Echo
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 49
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 30/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |