1

Galeforcechopper

5yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 99

Plumpton · Dominic Hill Accountants & Thorne Civil Engineers Mares' Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 195y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/11

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

79%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ridden in contrast to previously and caused an enormous upset in 9-runner maiden hurdle at Worcester 16 days ago, holding on gamely. Has to prove that effort wasn't a flash in the pan now handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newton Abbot 14/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 152 · HIGHER CLASS14/0745 @ Uttoxeter 17/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 15517/1054 @ Worcester 17/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS17/0644 @ Worcester 22/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS22/0744 @ Worcester 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 160 · HIGHER CLASS4/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Worcester41st0th+1
2026-07-22Worcester49th8th+1
2026-06-17Worcester46th5th+1
2025-10-17Uttoxeter59th9th0
2025-07-14Newton Abbot43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0717/1017/0622/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20253rd25/10%50%+0.50
17/10/20259th80/10%0%0.00
17/06/20266th125/10%29%+0.29
22/07/20269th125/10%0%0.00
04/09/20261st150/10%100%+1.00