3

Getarose

5yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 79

Plumpton · Dominic Hill Accountants & Thorne Civil Engineers Mares' Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 195y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dropped a long way in the weights last season and ended the campaign with a promising third at Newton Abbot in April. Really should be a factor at this level if fully tuned for this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ffos Las 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f182y Gd 150 · HIGHER CLASS16/1044 @ Hereford 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m3f147y Goo 150 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Taunton 11/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 97 · 2m104y Goo 165 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 97 par11/125OR 975 @ Taunton 08/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 95 · 2m104y Gd 163 · below its mark08/01/2026 · OR 95 par5 @ Southwell 02/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 90 · 2m4f88y Goo 163 · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 90 par2/025OR 905 @ Huntingdon 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 85 · 2m3f137y Hvy 162 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 85 par5 @ Hereford 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 83 · 2m3f147y Goo 157 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 83 par18/035OR 835 @ Newton Abbot 04/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 2m167y Gd 148 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 80 par4/045OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-04Newton Abbot53rd3rd0
2026-03-18Hereford54th4th0
2026-02-19Huntingdon54th4th0
2026-02-02Southwell58th8th0
2026-01-08Taunton56th6th0
2025-12-11Taunton511th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/108/0118/034/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 3. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20254th100/10%40%+0.40
03/11/20252nd33/10%86%+0.86
11/12/202511th22/10%17%+0.17
08/01/20266th80/10%17%+0.17
02/02/20268th80/10%22%+0.22
19/02/20264th40/10%40%+0.40
18/03/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
04/04/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19