4
Raulin
4yo Gelding · 11-2
Plumpton · Henners Gallop To Grape-Ness Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 195y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Redcar | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/09/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 16/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |