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5

Sangara

4yo Filly · 10-9

Plumpton · Henners Gallop To Grape-Ness Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 195y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

Dam half-sister to fairly useful hurdler (stays 25f) Futurum Regem. Limited Flat performer at up to 1¼m. Hood retained for hurdling debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength36%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 25/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 65 · 7f Sta 130 · below its mark25/06/2025 · OR 65 par25/065OR 655 @ Haydock 18/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 63 · 6f212y Goo 130 · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 63 par6 @ Chepstow 14/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 58 · 1m14y Goo 131 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 58 par14/086OR 582 @ Chepstow 25/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 56 · 1m14y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 56 par6 @ Pontefract 18/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 53 · 1m2f5y GS 127 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 53 par18/096OR 536 @ Wolverhampton 04/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m1f104y Std 128 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 7f216y Goo 135 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 50 par5/086OR 506 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 48 · 7f216y Goo 128 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 48 · 1m1f207y Goo 128 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 48 par1/096OR 48projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton610th12th−2
2026-08-24Brighton65th7th−2
2026-08-05Brighton65th7th−2
2025-10-04Wolverhampton612th14th−2
2025-09-18Pontefract63rd5th−2
2025-08-25Chepstow212th10th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0625/085/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/202511th50/10%0%0.00
18/07/202510th66/10%10%+0.10
14/08/20254th33/10%75%+0.75
25/08/202512th22/10%21%+0.21
18/09/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
04/10/202512th6/168%0%-0.68
05/08/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
24/08/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
01/09/202610th10/147%0%-0.47