2

Akrramm

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Plumpton · Prestige Security Executive Protection Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 116y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Only made the track 4 times for Roger Varian, taking a small step forward when second of 9 on handicap debut at Yarmouth (1¼m, good) when last seen 12 months ago. Hood on for hurdling/yard debut (sold for just 2,500 gns) but worth keeping a close eye on in the betting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 31/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 13331/0744 @ Chelmsford City 09/11/2024 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f Std 1309/1145 @ Chelmsford City 28/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m Std 13328/0854 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 71 · 1m2f23y Goo 128 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 71 par16/094OR 71projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-16Yarmouth42nd2nd0
2025-08-28Chelmsford City53rd4th1
2024-11-09Chelmsford City411th11th0
2024-07-31Sandown46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/079/1128/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20246th17/255%58%+0.03
09/11/202411th3/184%9%-0.75
28/08/20253rd18/15%82%+0.77
16/09/20252nd3/184%88%+0.03