4

One Dimensional

6yo Mare · 10-11

Plumpton · Prestige Security Executive Protection Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 116y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty of promise in her first 3 starts in bumpers last season (hooded). Simply flying too high in Nickel Coin Mares' National Hunt Flat Race at Aintree when last seen back in the spring and makes her hurdling debut in a reapplied hood.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Huntingdon 07/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f171y Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS7/1212 @ Ascot 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f157y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS14/0225 @ Hereford 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m53y Goo 1567/0351 @ Aintree 09/04/2026 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR - · 2m209y GS 156 · HIGHER CLASS9/041projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-09Aintree118th14th+4
2026-03-07Hereford54th5th1
2026-02-14Ascot22nd0th+2
2025-12-07Huntingdon15th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1214/027/039/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend -19.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/20255th50/10%69%+0.69
14/02/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14
07/03/20264th3/184%77%-0.07
09/04/202618th125/10%11%+0.11