7
Glorious Mist
9yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 64
Plumpton · Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Handicap Hurdle · 3m 217y
#3
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Fontwell | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-10 | Kempton | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-20 | Plumpton | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-21 | Plumpton | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Fontwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2023 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/05/2023 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/06/2023 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 30/11/2023 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/05/2024 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/06/2024 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 25/05/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 21/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |