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Pooroldmackley

7yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 83

Plumpton · Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Handicap Hurdle · 3m 217y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Versatile hold-up performer. Back on his latest winning mark and shaped as if in top form when beaten 7½ lengths (finished with running left under regular amateur jockey) at Worcester in early-July. Pace scenario again looks less than ideal, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hereford 22/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 2m3f147y Gd 145 · beat its mark22/04/2025 · OR 71 par22/045OR 715 @ Ludlow 11/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 2m5f55y Gd 153 · below its mark11/05/2025 · OR 84 par4 @ Newton Abbot 04/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 2m4f216y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2025 · OR 84 par4/064OR 845 @ Worcester 07/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 83 · 2m4f Goo 147 · below its mark07/07/2025 · OR 83 par5 @ Worcester 31/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 83 · 2m7f Gd 156 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 83 par31/085OR 835 @ Newton Abbot 19/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 3m1f170y Goo 158 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 84 par5 @ Stratford 28/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 87 · 2m6f7y Goo 155 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 87 par28/035OR 875 @ Worcester 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 79 · 2m4f Gd 147 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 79 par5 @ Worcester 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 83 · 2m7f Goo 151 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 83 par10/075OR 83projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Worcester54th4th0
2026-06-06Worcester54th4th0
2026-03-28Stratford57th7th0
2026-02-27Doncaster50
2025-12-21Fakenham50
2025-09-19Newton Abbot53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/047/0728/0310/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20251st4/696%100%+0.04
11/05/20253rd15/890%50%-0.40
04/06/20254th7/282%40%-0.42
07/07/20255th15/261%33%-0.27
31/08/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
19/09/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
28/03/20267th11/142%25%-0.17
06/06/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
10/07/20264th18/15%63%+0.57