4

Eternal Angel

6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 120

Plumpton · Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 195y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Going the right way under front-running tactics for present yard. Probably should have made it 3 wins from 5 this year in a small-field novice at Market Rasen last time, just failing under a more conservative ride. Could well be more to come on just his second handicap start for Tom Lacey.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wincanton 16/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 117 · 1m7f50y Goo 162 · below its mark16/01/2025 · OR 117 par16/014OR 117C8 @ Cork 11/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 116 · 2m190y Goo 166 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 116 parBHA110 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 110 · 2m4f50y Goo 166 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 110 par6/08110OR 110BHA108 @ Downpatrick 25/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 108 · 2m5f180y Gd 164 · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 108 par4 @ Huntingdon 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 112 · 1m7f171y Goo 158 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 112 par25/054OR 1124 @ Uttoxeter 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 115 · 1m7f168y Gd 164 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 115 par4 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 115 · 1m7f168y Gd 163 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 115 par7/074OR 1153 @ Cartmel 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 120 · 2m1f46y Gd 163 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 120 par4 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 120 · 2m125y Gd 166 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 120 par15/084OR 120projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Market Rasen42nd3rd1
2026-07-18Cartmel33rd3rd0
2026-07-07Uttoxeter41st2nd1
2026-06-13Uttoxeter42nd3rd1
2026-05-25Huntingdon41st2nd1
2025-08-25DownpatrickBHA1085th14th8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0125/087/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20252nd1/398%86%-0.13
11/07/20257th4/179%65%-0.14
06/08/20255th16/116%69%+0.53
25/08/20255th7/282%50%-0.32
25/05/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
13/06/20262nd11/1094%80%-0.14
07/07/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
18/07/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
15/08/20262nd4/797%50%-0.47