6
Gower Prince
8yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 100
Plumpton · Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 195y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Stratford | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Market Rasen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-07-25 | Uttoxeter | 5 | −2 | ||
| 2025-07-04 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2024 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |
| 14/06/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 02/07/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 20/07/2024 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |