Mojito Des Mottes
4yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 126
Plumpton · Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 195y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 2 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-29 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Newbury | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Market Rasen | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Ludlow | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +21.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 04/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |