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5

Nap Hand

6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 118

Plumpton · Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 195y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful Flat performer who doubled his hurdles tally under a good ride from this claimer in a tactical race at Perth (good to firm) last time. Clearly well equipped for small-field handicaps under these conditions, and a 7-lb rise hardly looks insurmountable in the context of his Flat form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Plumpton 20/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 116 · 1m7f195y Goo 164 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 116 par20/104OR 1164 @ Kempton 18/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m2f219y Sta 136 · beat its mark18/02/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Fakenham 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 115 · 2m3y Goo 162 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 115 par13/033OR 1152 @ Plumpton 05/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 114 · 1m7f195y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 114 par4 @ Warwick 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 112 · 2m Gd 160 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 112 par4/054OR 1124 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 80 · 1m4f5y Gd 135 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 80 par2 @ Cartmel 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 112 · 2m1f46y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 112 par28/062OR 1124 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 80 · 1m3f GF 137 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 80 par2 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 111 · 2m47y Gd 150 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 111 par15/082OR 111projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Perth21st0th+1
2026-07-17Newbury45th6th−1
2026-06-28Cartmel22nd1st+1
2026-05-23Salisbury43rd4th−1
2026-05-04Warwick42nd3rd−1
2026-04-05Plumpton28th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/105/0428/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20254th7/491%40%-0.51
18/02/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
13/03/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
05/04/20268th18/15%46%+0.41
04/05/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
23/05/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
28/06/20262nd17/255%88%+0.32
17/07/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
15/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26