1
Aggagio
8yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 95
Plumpton · Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 116y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fontwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 45% | -0.26 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |