8
Anxious Moments
4yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 77
Plumpton · Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 116y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |