4
On The Fly
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Plumpton · Bob George Powered By Mansell McTaggart Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 169y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Stratford | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |