6

Freckles

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Strasbourg · Prix Christophe Aubert Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 10/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 14710/04C?C0 @ Compiegne 07/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m7f199y Ver 1457/05C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-07Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2025-04-10Auteuil?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/047/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend -15.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20257th16/116%45%+0.30
07/05/20253rd9/153%67%+0.14