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2

Marius

4yo Gelding · 10-10

Strasbourg · Prix Christophe Aubert Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Moulins 25/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13625/08C5C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 22/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14722/11C?3 @ Strasbourg 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 14518/043C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1548/05C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Vittel30
2026-07-06Vittel?0
2026-06-10Dieppe?0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?3rd3rd0
2026-04-18Strasbourg32nd2nd0
2026-03-22Strasbourg30

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0822/1118/048/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +19.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20257th8/158%0%-0.58
22/11/20255th22/10%20%+0.20
18/04/20262nd16/116%90%+0.74
08/05/20263rd13/891%80%-0.11