5
Beau Gars
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Strasbourg · Prix Alsace Lait (prix Du Rhin) Stakes · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength41%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-01-16 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-08 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 16/01/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 17/03/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 25/08/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 15% | -0.37 |