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Haza

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Strasbourg · Prix Alsace Lait (prix Du Rhin) Stakes · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 30/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12130/12C?2 @ Deauville 23/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 07/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS7/0233 @ Lyon La Soie 24/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Chantilly 08/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS8/0333 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS11/0432 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/053projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Lyon-Parilly32nd0th+2
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly27th4th+3
2026-04-11Fontainebleau34th2nd+2
2026-03-22Strasbourg31st-1th+2
2026-03-08Chantilly35th3rd+2
2026-02-24Lyon La Soie33rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1224/0211/0430/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/12/20253rd28/10%87%+0.87
23/01/202610th25/10%40%+0.40
07/02/20269th5/174%38%-0.35
24/02/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
08/03/20265th15/261%69%+0.09
22/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
11/04/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
08/05/20267th25/10%60%+0.60
30/05/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24