8
Afterglow
7yo Mare · 8-6
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Bistro Des Brasseurs A Mutzig - Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 1m 3f 149y
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |