7
Algeciras
7yo Mare · 8-7
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Bistro Des Brasseurs A Mutzig - Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 1m 3f 149y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
83%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |