12

Maydana

7yo Mare · 8-0

Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Bistro Des Brasseurs A Mutzig - Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 1m 3f 149y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 30/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12930/12C?C0 @ Nancy 05/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 127C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 17/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f144y Gd 12817/05C?C5 @ Nancy 06/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 124C0 @ Vittel 07/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m198y GS 1277/07C?4 @ Nancy 04/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1254 @ Strasbourg 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f149y Sft 11918/0444 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1214 @ Nancy 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12120/054projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-20Nancy47th7th0
2026-05-08Strasbourg411th11th0
2026-04-18Strasbourg45th5th0
2026-04-04Nancy412th12th0
2025-07-07Vittel?9th9th0
2025-06-06Nancy?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/126/0618/0420/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/12/20248th22/10%50%+0.50
05/04/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
17/05/202513th13/266%14%-0.52
06/06/20253rd7/282%78%-0.04
07/07/20259th7/282%33%-0.48
04/04/202612th9/153%15%-0.37
18/04/20265th20/10%71%+0.71
08/05/202611th3/184%33%-0.51
20/05/20267th4/179%45%-0.33