1
Passage Meslay
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Bistro Des Brasseurs A Mutzig - Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 1m 3f 149y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 10/02/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 23/02/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/03/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 14/03/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 11/04/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 18% | -0.63 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |