6

Rolexxa
4yo Filly · 8-10
Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Bistro Des Brasseurs A Mutzig - Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 1m 3f 149y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 10/04/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.17 |