6

Rolexxa

4yo Filly · 8-10

Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Bistro Des Brasseurs A Mutzig - Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 1m 3f 149y

#8

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength17%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 23/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 13223/0333 @ Saint-Cloud 10/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1294 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12029/0444 @ Lyon-Parilly 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 123C5 @ Strasbourg 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12427/05C54 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y GS 1313 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1302/0733 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y GS 131C0 @ Strasbourg 13/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 13113/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Strasbourg?10th10th0
2026-07-23Vichy37th7th0
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp37th7th0
2026-06-16Strasbourg43rd3rd0
2026-05-27Strasbourg?4th4th0
2026-05-14Lyon-Parilly46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0314/052/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20266th50/10%64%+0.64
10/04/202613th22/10%0%0.00
29/04/20267th28/10%25%+0.25
14/05/20266th16/116%55%+0.39
27/05/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
16/06/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
02/07/20267th8/158%57%-0.01
23/07/20267th16/116%60%+0.44
13/09/202610th9/153%36%-0.17