IvyArcIvyArc
4

Tremonia

4yo Filly · 8-11

Strasbourg · Prix Du Pmu Bistro Des Brasseurs A Mutzig - Fondation Claude Pompidou Handicap · 1m 3f 149y

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Nancy 12/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 11612/10C5C5 @ Nancy 04/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1244/04C5C5 @ Nancy 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12420/05C54 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y GS 12516/064projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-16Strasbourg414th14th0
2026-05-20Nancy?3rd3rd0
2026-04-04Nancy?4th4th0
2025-10-12Nancy?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/104/0420/0516/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength95%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/202510th33/10%31%+0.31
04/04/20264th80/10%70%+0.70
20/05/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
16/06/202614th66/10%13%+0.13