Fox Trot
11yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 120
Strasbourg · Prix Marcel Michel - Grand Steeple-chase De Strasbourg Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Strasbourg | BHA120 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Dieppe | BHA120 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 03/12/2024 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 04/06/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/07/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |