3
Groom Boy
10yo Gelding · 10-10
Strasbourg · Prix Marcel Michel - Grand Steeple-chase De Strasbourg Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |